Analytics Hub

Sports Analytics

Data-driven award models for every major sport — no hot takes, no narratives, just numbers.

How We Build Our Award Predictions📊

At Stinger Collectibles, our award rankings aren’t driven by headlines, highlight reels, or weekly narratives. They’re powered by data-first models designed to evaluate player performance in context — across the entire season, not just the loudest moments.

Our goal isn’t to predict who people are talking about today, but who is most likely to finish the season as a true award finalist.

What Goes Into the Models 🔍

Each sport uses a custom-built model tailored to how awards are actually voted on, combining:

  • Individual performance metrics

    (production, efficiency, usage, and consistency)

  • Team context & impact

    (win percentage, standings, situational leverage)

  • Historical award patterns

    (what past winners had in common at similar points in the season)

  • Trend signals

    (who’s rising, falling, or stabilizing as the season evolves)

Rather than relying on a single stat or narrative, our models weigh multiple dimensions of value to surface the most complete candidates.

Why Rankings Move (Even When Stats Look Similar)📈

You may notice players rise or fall despite strong box-score numbers. That’s intentional.

Our rankings reflect:

  • Shifts in team success
  • Changes in relative performance vs. peers
  • How a player’s season compares to historical MVP / award benchmarks

This allows us to highlight under-the-radar candidates early — and avoid overreacting to short-term noise.

Probabilities, Not Hot Takes 🧠

Where available, we publish:
  • Top 5 Probability
  • Win probability
  • Movement indicators (↑ ↓ NEW)

These probabilities aren’t predictions of votes — they’re likelihoods based on historical outcomes, updated weekly as new data comes in.

Think of it as an evolving forecast, not a final verdict

Built for Fans, Collectors & Analysts 🏆

Whether you’re here to:
  • Track award races
  • Discover emerging stars
  • Understand why a player is rising or falling
  • Spot trends before the market reacts

…the Analytics Hub is your entry point into how performance, context, and history intersect.

Transparency Without the Sauce 🐝

We believe in explaining what matters — without exposing proprietary weighting, formulas, or thresholds. The result is a system that’s:
  • Credible
  • Consistent
  • Data-driven
  • And independent of mainstream narratives

Explore the Models

Dive into our sport-specific award trackers below and see how the race is unfolding — updated weekly.