MVP Picks – Top 3
Three candidates. Why we like them. Cards you can shop right now.
This Week’s Top 3
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2025 NFL MVP Model – Top 10 (Current Week)
Rankings powered by the Stinger Collectibles data model – factoring win rate, efficiency, touchdown production, total yardage, and historical MVP weighting.
| Rank | Player | Team | Pos | Win % | Passer Rating | Total Yards | Total TDs | MVP Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake Maye | NE | QB | 85% | 111.9 | 3,733 | 25 | 100% |
| 2 | Josh Allen | BUF | QB | 69% | 102.9 | 3,570 | 34 | 100% |
| 3 | Jordan Love | GB | QB | 69% | 105.4 | 3,191 | 22 | 99% |
| 4 | Matthew Stafford | LA | QB | 77% | 113.1 | 3,344 | 35 | 88% |
| 5 | Jonathan Taylor | IND | RB | 62% | — | 1,660 | 18 | 40% |
| 6 | Patrick Mahomes | KC | QB | 46% | 91.2 | 3,795 | 26 | 12% |
| 7 | Daniel Jones | IND | QB | 62% | 100.2 | 3,265 | 24 | 10% |
| 8 | Sam Darnold | SEA | QB | 77% | 103.8 | 3,234 | 22 | 8% |
| 9 | Bo Nix | DEN | QB | 85% | 86.4 | 3,198 | 23 | 6% |
| 10 | Dak Prescott | DAL | QB | 46% | 100.2 | 3,775 | 28 | 3% |
Why the Model Loves the Top 3
1. Drake Maye (Patriots) – He finally takes the #1 spot. The perfect MVP profile: elite efficiency, strong decision-making, an 85% win rate, and over 3,700 total yards. The model heavily rewards balanced production plus team success — and Maye is delivering both.
2. Josh Allen (Bills) – 34 total touchdowns. Nearly 500 rushing yards. Massive weekly volume. Allen remains the most versatile offensive threat in the league, and even with volatility, no QB produces more combined yardage + scoring. That's why he stays in the elite tier.
3. Jordan Love (Packers) – Maybe the quietest superstar season in the NFL. A top-tier TD–INT ratio, strong win rate, and a passer rating over 105 keep pushing Love higher. Efficiency plus mistake-free football is exactly the kind of profile the MVP model loves.